J1 League · Regular Season - 9
Kawasaki FrontalevsNagoya Grampus
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J1 League
- Venue
- Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus: match review and analysis
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus in J1 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kawasaki Frontale recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Nagoya Grampus recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses, with 11 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kawasaki Frontale | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kawasaki Frontale: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.99 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nagoya Grampus: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kawasaki Frontale recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiEmperor Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ-League Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Mito HollyhockJ1 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| JEF United ChibaJ1 League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Tochigi SCEmperor Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kyoto SangaJ1 League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Kawasaki Frontale’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nagoya Grampus recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KitakyushuJ-League Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Machida ZelviaJ1 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gainare TottoriEmperor Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Gamba OsakaJ1 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| KashimaJ1 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nagoya Grampus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J1 League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kawasaki Frontale are ranked 8 in J-League, with 13 points from 8 games.
Nagoya Grampus are ranked 16 in J-League, with 6 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.