Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 6
CF Talavera2–1Atlético Paso
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
- Venue
- Estadio El Prado
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CF Talavera vs Atlético Paso: match review and analysis
CF Talavera vs Atlético Paso in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on 11 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
CF Talavera recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Atlético Paso recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CF Talavera | Atlético Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CF Talavera: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atlético Paso: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CF Talavera recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Real Valladolid IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NavalcarneroCopa Federacion | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Getafe IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IllescasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ourense CFPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from CF Talavera’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atlético Paso recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Albacete IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| A Madrid IIISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Calvo SoteloSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| HerbaniaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TeldeTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Atlético Paso’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CF Talavera are ranked 7 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 8 points from 5 games.
Atlético Paso are ranked 13 in Segunda Rfef: Group 5, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SS Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Valladolid II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Ávila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlético Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe II | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid III | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.