J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Shonan BellmarevsAlbirex Niigata
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Lemon Gas Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata: match review and analysis
Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata in J2 League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Shonan Bellmare recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Albirex Niigata recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Shonan Bellmare | Albirex Niigata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Shonan Bellmare: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Albirex Niigata: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Shonan Bellmare recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC TokyoEmperor Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ-League Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Reinmeer AomoriEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Shonan Bellmare’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Albirex Niigata recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Matsumoto YamagaJ-League Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kagoshima UnitedEmperor Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Albirex Niigata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Albirex Niigata are ranked 2 in J2 League, with 19 points from 9 games.
Shonan Bellmare are ranked 6 in J2 League, with 16 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.