National League · Regular Season - 3
Hantharwady UnitedvsShan United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hantharwady United vs Shan United: match review and analysis
Hantharwady United vs Shan United in National League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Hantharwady United recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Shan United recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 29 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hantharwady United | Shan United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 29 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hantharwady United: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shan United: (2.79 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hantharwady United recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thitsar ArmanNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| DagonNational League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shan UnitedNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rakhine UnitedNational League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| YadanarbonNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sagaing UnitedNational League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Yarmanya UnitedNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| I.S.P.ENational League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dagon PortNational League | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hantharwady United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shan United recent form
2.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EzraASEAN Club Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EzraASEAN Club Championship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MyawadyNational League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Yangon RoyalsNational League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hantharwady UnitedNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sagaing UnitedNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Yarmanya UnitedNational League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Rakhine UnitedNational League | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| I.S.P.ENational League | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Yangon UnitedNational League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Shan United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shan United are ranked 3 in National League, with 4 points from 2 games.
Hantharwady United are ranked 9 in National League, with 1 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | Yangon United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Shan United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Yadanarbon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sagaing United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ayeyawady United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Thitsar Arman | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Yangon Royals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Hantharwady United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | I.S.P.E | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Myawady | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | GFA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.