Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 6
Peña DeportivavsOrihuela
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela: match review and analysis
Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Peña Deportiva recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Orihuela recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Peña Deportiva | Orihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Peña Deportiva: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.63 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Orihuela: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Peña Deportiva recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Real Murcia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Elche IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| YeclanoSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IbizaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ManacorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ManacorTercera División RFEF - Group 11 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Peña Deportiva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Orihuela recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CiezaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Castellón IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Deportiva MineraSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real MurciaCopa Federacion | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lorca DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| San Fernando CDCopa Federacion | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real Murcia IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CiezaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC CartagenaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Orihuela’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Orihuela are ranked 10 in Group 3, with 7 points from 5 games.
Peña Deportiva are ranked 18 in Group 3, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.