Liga 3 · Regular Season - 6
MafravsCF Os Belenenses
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- Estadio Municipal de Mafra
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses: match review and analysis
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses in Liga 3 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Mafra recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 11. CF Os Belenenses recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mafra | CF Os Belenenses |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mafra: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CF Os Belenenses: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mafra recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TirsenseTaça de Portugal | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OliveirenseLiga 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SC CovilhaLiga 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atlético MalveiraTaça de Portugal | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Lusitano Évora 1911Liga 3 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético CPLiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vitória de SernacheLiga 3 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| AlvercaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC FredericiaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| EsbjergFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mafra’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CF Os Belenenses recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beira-MarTaça de Portugal | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Atlético CPLiga 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Vitória de SernacheLiga 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Lusitano Évora 1911Taça de Portugal | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| União SantarémLiga 3 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| LouletanoLiga 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CaldasLiga 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EstorilFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BenficaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| AlvercaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from CF Os Belenenses’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CF Os Belenenses are ranked 1 in Liga 3, with 15 points from 5 games.
Mafra are ranked 4 in Liga 3, with 7 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.