Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Group 7 - 6
Pozuelo AlarcónvsAlcobendas Sport
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport: match review and analysis
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Pozuelo Alarcón recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Alcobendas Sport recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Pozuelo Alarcón | Alcobendas Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Pozuelo Alarcón: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alcobendas Sport: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Pozuelo Alarcón recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RC AlcobendasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IllescasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MarchamaloFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tres CantosTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CarabanchelTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pozuelo Alarcón’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alcobendas Sport recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parla EscuelaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FuenlabradaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| AD ParlaTercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alcorcón IITercera División RFEF - Group 7 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alcobendas Sport’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pozuelo Alarcón are ranked 12 in Tercera: Group 7, with 6 points from 5 games.
Alcobendas Sport are ranked 14 in Tercera: Group 7, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.