Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 6
Mancha RealvsTorre del Mar
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar: match review and analysis
Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Mancha Real recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Torre del Mar recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mancha Real | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mancha Real: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Torre del Mar: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mancha Real recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor VegaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ciudad de TorredonjimenoTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico de MarbellaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MarbelliTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ciudad de TorredonjimenoTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Granada IITercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Huétor VegaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Huétor TájarTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mancha Real’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Torre del Mar recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MarbelliTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MelillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Churriana VegaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TorreperogilTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético PorcunaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Torre del Mar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Torre del Mar are ranked 13 in Tercera: Group 9, with 4 points from 5 games.
Mancha Real are ranked 17 in Tercera: Group 9, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Málaga II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Almería II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlético Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.