NB III - Southwest · Southwest - 11
SiofokvsPécsi MFC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- NB III - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Siofok vs Pécsi MFC: match review and analysis
Siofok vs Pécsi MFC in NB III - Southwest on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Siofok recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Pécsi MFC recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, with 31 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Siofok | Pécsi MFC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 31 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Siofok: (1.91 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pécsi MFC: (2.70 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Siofok recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunaharaszti MTKNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Paksi SE IINB III - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BudaörsNB III - Southwest | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| SzekszárdNB III - Southwest | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SárbogárdNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TFSE BudapestMagyar Kupa | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Budafoki LCNB III - Southwest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MTK Budapest IINB III - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PTE-PEACNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KaposvarNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Siofok’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pécsi MFC recent form
3.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budafoki LCNB III - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PTE-PEACNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MTK Budapest IINB III - Southwest | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tiszakecske FCMagyar Kupa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KaposvarNB III - Southwest | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| IváncsaNB III - Southwest | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Érdi VSENB III - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SárbogárdMagyar Kupa | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Ferencváros IINB III - Southwest | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| SárbogárdNB III - Southwest | Away | 6–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pécsi MFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
NB III - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pécsi MFC are ranked 1 in Southwest, with 28 points from 10 games.
Siofok are ranked 7 in Southwest, with 14 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 28 |
| 2 | Kaposvar | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | PTE-PEAC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Budafoki LC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Ferencváros II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Iváncsa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Siofok | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Majosi | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest II | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 12 |
| 11 | Érdi VSE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Budaörs | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 5 |
| 15 | Szekszárd | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 38 | -34 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.