2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
Hertha BSCvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. Bundesliga
- Venue
- Olympiastadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: match review and analysis
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2. Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hertha BSC recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 13. SpVgg Greuther Fürth recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hertha BSC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hertha BSC: (2.55 weighted goals scored + 2.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hertha BSC recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC AugsburgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hertha ZehlendorfFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga | Away | 5–3 | Won | |
| FC SaarbrückenDFB Pokal | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hertha BSC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SpVgg Greuther Fürth recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| VfL BochumDFB Pokal | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FC ZurichFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Eintracht BambergFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hertha BSC are ranked 1 in 2. Bundesliga, with 18 points from 6 games.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are ranked 13 in 2. Bundesliga, with 6 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.