2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
FC St. PaulivsKarlsruher SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. Bundesliga
- Venue
- Millerntor-Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: match review and analysis
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC in 2. Bundesliga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
FC St. Pauli recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Karlsruher SC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC St. Pauli | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC St. Pauli: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Karlsruher SC: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC St. Pauli recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rot-Weiß EssenDFB Pokal | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BournemouthFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC St. Pauli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Karlsruher SC recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV WehenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Hannover 962. Bundesliga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Preußen MünsterDFB Pokal | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| 1899 HoffenheimFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| InterFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Karlsruher SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC St. Pauli are ranked 9 in 2. Bundesliga, with 7 points from 6 games.
Karlsruher SC are ranked 15 in 2. Bundesliga, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | VfL Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.