1st Division · Regular Season - 5
Korabi PeshkopivsPogradeci
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1st Division
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci: match review and analysis
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci in 1st Division on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Korabi Peshkopi recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Pogradeci recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Korabi Peshkopi | Pogradeci |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Korabi Peshkopi: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 0.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pogradeci: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Korabi Peshkopi recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tërbuni PukëCup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VoraFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FK Kukesi1st Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë1st Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë1st Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Oriku1st Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Besëlidhja LezhëFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë1st Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Besa Kavajë1st Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK Kukesi1st Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Korabi Peshkopi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pogradeci recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DelvinaCup | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Flamurtari1st Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FK Kukesi1st Division | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kastrioti Krujë1st Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë1st Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Besa KavajëFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Teuta DurrësSuperliga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Besa KavajëSuperliga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kastrioti KrujëSuperliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Luftëtari1st Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Pogradeci’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1st Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pogradeci are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 8 points from 4 games.
Korabi Peshkopi are ranked 3 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Bylis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | FK Kukesi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastrioti Krujë | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sopoti Librazhd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamurtari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oriku | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.