Super League · Regular Season - 27
Chongqing Tongliang LongvsShandong Luneng
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Longxing Football Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng: match review and analysis
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng in Super League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Chongqing Tongliang Long recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Shandong Luneng recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chongqing Tongliang Long: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shandong Luneng: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chongqing Tongliang Long recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Yunnan YukunFA Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Henan JianyeSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sichuan JiuniuSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Wuhan Three TownsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandFA Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hangzhou GreentownSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chongqing Tongliang Long’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shandong Luneng recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan JiuniuSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Qingdao JonoonSuper League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Tianjin TedaSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Henan JianyeSuper League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wuhan Three TownsFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shandong Luneng’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shandong Luneng are ranked 6 in Super League, with 37 points from 26 games.
Chongqing Tongliang Long are ranked 9 in Super League, with 31 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.