Prva Liga · Regular Season - 13
NaftagasvsNapredak
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Prva Liga
- Venue
- Gradski stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Naftagas vs Napredak: match review and analysis
Naftagas vs Napredak in Prva Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Naftagas recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Napredak recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Naftagas | Napredak |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Naftagas: (2.11 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Napredak: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.07 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Naftagas recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVPrva Liga | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Jedinstvo UbPrva Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| JavorPrva Liga | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| TSC Backa TopolaPrva Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TeleoptikPrva Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metalac GMPrva Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| OFK Bor 1919Prva Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GrafičarPrva Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Borac CacakPrva Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DubočicaPrva Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Naftagas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Napredak recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoznicaPrva Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FK VozdovacPrva Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Semendrija 1924Prva Liga | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| OFK VršacPrva Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVPrva Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jedinstvo UbPrva Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| JavorPrva Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TSC Backa TopolaPrva Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TeleoptikPrva Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metalac GMPrva Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Napredak’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Prva Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Napredak are ranked 7 in Prva Liga, with 17 points from 12 games.
Naftagas are ranked 12 in Prva Liga, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | TSC Backa Topola | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Semendrija 1924 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Javor | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | OFK Vršac | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Metalac GM | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Napredak | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Dubočica | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | FK Vozdovac | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Loznica | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| 13 | Grafičar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Teleoptik | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 8 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.