La Liga · Regular Season - 8
ElchevsCelta Vigo
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- La Liga
- Venue
- Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Elche vs Celta Vigo: match review and analysis
Elche vs Celta Vigo in La Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Elche recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Celta Vigo recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Elche | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Elche: (1.60 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Celta Vigo: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 2.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Elche recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EspanyolLa Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real MadridLa Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Athletic ClubLa Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real SociedadLa Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Racing SantanderLa Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BarcelonaLa Liga | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CordobaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Al AinFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Johor Darul Takzim FCFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Elche’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Celta Vigo recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing SantanderLa Liga | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MalagaLa Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GetafeLa Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real SociedadLa Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Athletic ClubLa Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OsasunaLa Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ValenciaLa Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NapoliFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SassuoloFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Celta Vigo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
La Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Celta Vigo are ranked 15 in La Liga, with 7 points from 7 games.
Elche are ranked 18 in La Liga, with 5 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.