Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 11
Freiburg IIvsSGV Freiberg
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - SudWest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg: match review and analysis
Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg in Regionalliga - SudWest on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Freiburg II recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 11. SGV Freiberg recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 26 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Freiburg II | SGV Freiberg |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Freiburg II: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SGV Freiberg: (2.49 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Freiburg II recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.Regionalliga - SudWest | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| SV SandhausenRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Stuttgarter KickersRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hoffenheim IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Freiburg II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SGV Freiberg recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV SteinbachRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stuttgarter KickersRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VfR AalenRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FSV Mainz 05 IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| SV SandhausenRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SSV Ulm 1846Regionalliga - SudWest | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FC 08 HomburgRegionalliga - SudWest | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kaiserslautern IIRegionalliga - SudWest | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from SGV Freiberg’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - SudWest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SGV Freiberg are ranked 1 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 20 points from 10 games.
Freiburg II are ranked 5 in Regionalliga: Sudwest, with 16 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 20 |
| 2 | Kickers Offenbach | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | VfR Aalen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | Eintracht Trier | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | VfR Mannheim | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | TSV Steinbach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | SV Sandhausen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | FSV Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 9 |
| 17 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.