3. Lig - Group 1 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 6
Karadeniz Ereğli BSKvsYalova Yeşilovaspor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: match review and analysis
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor in 3. Lig - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Yalova Yeşilovaspor recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 9 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | Yalova Yeşilovaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 2.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yalova Yeşilovaspor: (0.97 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orduspor 1967Türkiye Kupası | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Silivrispor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Amasyaspor 19683. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kartal Bulvarspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yozgat Bld Bozokspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yozgat Bld Bozokspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 3 | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| 1926 Bulancak3. Lig - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Karadeniz Ereğli BSK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yalova Yeşilovaspor recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kartal Bulvarspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GalataTürkiye Kupası | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Beykoz İshaklıspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tokat Bld Plevnespor3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| İnkılapspor3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Çorluspor 19473. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Etimesgut SK3. Lig - Group 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| 1926 Polatlı Belediye3. Lig - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Yalova Yeşilovaspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK are ranked 5 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 9 points from 5 games.
Yalova Yeşilovaspor are ranked 16 in 3. Lig Group 1, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Pazarspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Galata | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Orduspor 1967 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Düzcespor | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Beykoz Anadolu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Gölcükspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Silivrispor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | İnkılapspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.