Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
Imisli FKvsQarabag
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Yevlakh City Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Imisli FK vs Qarabag: match review and analysis
Imisli FK vs Qarabag in Premyer Liqa on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Imisli FK recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Qarabag recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Imisli FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Imisli FK: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 0.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Qarabag: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Imisli FK recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KarvanPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Imisli FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Qarabag recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| TwenteUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TwenteUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Şamaxı FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CSKA SofiaUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Qarabag’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premyer Liqa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Qarabag are ranked 3 in Premyer Liqasi, with 13 points from 5 games.
Imisli FK are ranked 9 in Premyer Liqasi, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.