Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 5
ChanthaburivsNong Bua Pitchaya
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Chanthaburi Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: match review and analysis
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya in Thai League 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chanthaburi recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Nong Bua Pitchaya recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 19 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chanthaburi | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chanthaburi: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nong Bua Pitchaya: (1.86 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chanthaburi recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UttaraditThai League 2 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SongkhlaThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nakhon Si ThammaratThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sisaket UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BangkokThai League 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chanthaburi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nong Bua Pitchaya recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SatunThai League 2 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| UttaraditThai League 2 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rasi Salai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nong Bua Pitchaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nong Bua Pitchaya are ranked 4 in Thai Division 1, with 7 points from 4 games.
Chanthaburi are ranked 13 in Thai Division 1, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Uttaradit | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Muang Loei United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Chainat | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Muangthong United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Satun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Nakhon Pathom | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Esan Pattaya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Mahasarakham United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.