1a Divisió · Regular Season - 4
Penya EncarnadavsSporting Escaldes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1a Divisió
- Venue
- Estadi Nacional
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes: match review and analysis
Penya Encarnada vs Sporting Escaldes in 1a Divisió on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Penya Encarnada recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Sporting Escaldes recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses, with 13 scored and 47 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Penya Encarnada | Sporting Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 47 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Penya Encarnada: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 4.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sporting Escaldes: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Penya Encarnada recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carroi1a Divisió | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| FC Santa Coloma1a Divisió | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1a Divisió | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1a Divisió | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ranger's1a Divisió | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ordino1a Divisió | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| UE Santa Coloma1a Divisió | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Esperança d'Andorra1a Divisió | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Santa Coloma1a Divisió | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes1a Divisió | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Penya Encarnada’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sporting Escaldes recent form
1.30 goals scored and 4.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Santa Coloma1a Divisió | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1a Divisió | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Ordino1a Divisió | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Esperança d'Andorra1a Divisió | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Esperança d'Andorra1a Divisió | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC Santa ColomaCopa Constitució | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| La Massana2a Divisió | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Extremenya2a Divisió | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2a Divisió | Away | 1–11 | Lost | |
| Penya Encarnada2a Divisió | Home | 1–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sporting Escaldes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1a Divisió — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Penya Encarnada are ranked 7 in Primera Division, with 2 points from 3 games.
Sporting Escaldes are ranked 10 in Primera Division, with 0 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Ordino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Ranger's | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Esperança d'Andorra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Penya Encarnada | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 8 | Casa de Portugal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 9 | Carroi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.