FKF Premier League · Regular Season - 1
3KvsMara Sugar
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FKF Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
3K vs Mara Sugar: match review and analysis
3K vs Mara Sugar in FKF Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
3K recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Mara Sugar recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | 3K | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
3K: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mara Sugar: (0.72 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
3K recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Migori YouthSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| TalantaSuper League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mombasa EliteSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Equity BankSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kibera Black StarsSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fortune SaccoSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MCFSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vihiga United FCSuper League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Kabati Youth FCSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NaivasSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from 3K’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mara Sugar recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEALFKF Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GOR MahiaFKF Premier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mathare UnitedFKF Premier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ShabanaFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TuskerFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kariobangi SharksFKF Premier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Posta Rangers FCFKF Premier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KCBFKF Premier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mara Sugar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FKF Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mara Sugar are ranked 16 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
3K are ranked 18 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | GOR Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Murang'a SEAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.