Super Liga · Regular Season - 14
Milsami OrheivsPolitehnica UTM
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super Liga
- Venue
- Complexul Sportiv Raional
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM: match review and analysis
Milsami Orhei vs Politehnica UTM in Super Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Milsami Orhei recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Politehnica UTM recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Milsami Orhei | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Milsami Orhei: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Politehnica UTM: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Milsami Orhei recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SirețiSuper Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CSF BălțiSuper Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PetrocubSuper Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZimbruSuper Liga | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Politehnica UTMSuper Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SirețiSuper Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CSF BălțiSuper Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Milsami Orhei’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Politehnica UTM recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PetrocubSuper Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ZimbruSuper Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SirețiSuper Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CSF BălțiSuper Liga | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Milsami OrheiSuper Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PetrocubSuper Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ZimbruSuper Liga | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dacia-BuiucaniSuper Liga | Away | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Politehnica UTM’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Milsami Orhei are ranked 5 in Super Liga, with 17 points from 13 games.
Politehnica UTM are ranked 6 in Super Liga, with 15 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheriff Tiraspol | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 28 |
| 2 | Zimbru | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 26 |
| 3 | Petrocub | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Dacia-Buiucani | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Milsami Orhei | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 6 | Politehnica UTM | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Sireți | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 8 | CSF Bălți | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 42 | -33 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.