Premier League · Regular Season - 1
Hadiya HosaenavsBahardar
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar: match review and analysis
Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Hadiya Hosaena recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Bahardar recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, with 8 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hadiya Hosaena | Bahardar |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hadiya Hosaena: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bahardar: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hadiya Hosaena recent form
0.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hadiya Hosaena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bahardar recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia Nigd BankPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sidama BunnaPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Awassa KenemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Welayta DichaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mekelle KenemaPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MekelakeyaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dire Dawa KenemaPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fasil KetemaPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Suhul ShirePremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bahardar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bahardar are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
Hadiya Hosaena are ranked 14 in Premier League, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adama Kenema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Kedus Giorgis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Awassa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mekelakeya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Medhin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Welayta Dicha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fasil Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Bahardar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hosaena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gamo Chencha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Negelle Arsi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheger Ketema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mebrat Hayl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.