Vysshaya Liga · Regular Season - 18
RavshanvsKhosilot Farkhor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Vysshaya Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ravshan vs Khosilot Farkhor: match review and analysis
Ravshan vs Khosilot Farkhor in Vysshaya Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ravshan recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Khosilot Farkhor recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 26 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ravshan | Khosilot Farkhor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 26 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ravshan: (1.63 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Khosilot Farkhor: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ravshan recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA PomirVysshaya Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| ParvozVysshaya Liga | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| EskhataVysshaya Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IstiqlolVysshaya Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barki TajikVysshaya Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Regar-TadAZVysshaya Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KhatlonVysshaya Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sardor TursunzodaVysshaya Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| KhujandVysshaya Liga | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| IstaravshanVysshaya Liga | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ravshan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Khosilot Farkhor recent form
2.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ParvozVysshaya Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IstiqlolVysshaya Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Regar-TadAZVysshaya Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sardor TursunzodaVysshaya Liga | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| IstaravshanVysshaya Liga | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| CSKA PomirVysshaya Liga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| EskhataVysshaya Liga | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Barki TajikVysshaya Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KhatlonVysshaya Liga | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KhujandVysshaya Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Khosilot Farkhor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Vysshaya Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Khosilot Farkhor are ranked 3 in Vysshaya Liga, with 34 points from 17 games.
Ravshan are ranked 7 in Vysshaya Liga, with 22 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Regar-TadAZ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Farkhor | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| 4 | Khujand | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 | Barki Tajik | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | CSKA Pomir | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 17 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.