Super League · Regular Season - 16
Karonga UnitedvsCIVO United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Karonga United vs CIVO United: match review and analysis
Karonga United vs CIVO United in Super League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Karonga United recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 15. CIVO United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 6 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Karonga United | CIVO United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Karonga United: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 0.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CIVO United: (0.70 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Karonga United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EkhayaSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CreckSuper League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Karonga United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CIVO United recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu BarracksSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| MAFCOSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Moyale BarracksSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CreckSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from CIVO United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CIVO United are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 20 points from 15 games.
Karonga United are ranked 13 in Regular Season, with 14 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Be Forward Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.