Super League · Regular Season - 16
CreckvsMoyale Barracks
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Creck vs Moyale Barracks: match review and analysis
Creck vs Moyale Barracks in Super League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Creck recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Moyale Barracks recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Creck | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Creck: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Moyale Barracks: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Creck recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EkhayaSuper League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dedza DynamosSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Silver StrikersSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Creck’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Moyale Barracks recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAFCOSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kamuzu BarracksSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Red LionsSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be Forward WanderersSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CIVO UnitedSuper League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Masters FCSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Blue EaglesSuper League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karonga UnitedSuper League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mitundu BaptistSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nyasa Big BulletsSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Moyale Barracks’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Moyale Barracks are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 15 games.
Creck are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 10 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Eagles | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Be Forward Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.