3. Lig - Group 2 · 3. Lig Group 2 - 6
Denizli İYGvsAyvalikgucu
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Lig - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu: match review and analysis
Denizli İYG vs Ayvalikgucu in 3. Lig - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Denizli İYG recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 16. Ayvalikgucu recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Denizli İYG | Ayvalikgucu |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Denizli İYG: (0.36 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ayvalikgucu: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 1.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Denizli İYG recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serik SporTürkiye Kupası | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kepezspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gaziemirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Altay3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Alanya 1221 FK3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kütahyaspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Denizli İYG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ayvalikgucu recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Söke 1970Türkiye Kupası | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Söke 19703. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bigaspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Kepezspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Gaziemirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Yeni Orduspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Play-offs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Karsiyaka3. Lig - Play-offs | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ayvalikgucu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Lig - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ayvalikgucu are ranked 6 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 10 points from 5 games.
Denizli İYG are ranked 17 in 3. Lig Group 2, with 2 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskişehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Balıkesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Söke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemirspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Uşak Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | Akşehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepezspor | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli İYG | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 FK | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.