2. Lig · 2. Lig Red Group - 6
Karacabey Belediyesporvs1461 Trabzon FK
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 2. Lig
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Karacabey Belediyespor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: match review and analysis
Karacabey Belediyespor vs 1461 Trabzon FK in 2. Lig on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Karacabey Belediyespor recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 12. 1461 Trabzon FK recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 20 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Karacabey Belediyespor | 1461 Trabzon FK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Karacabey Belediyespor: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
1461 Trabzon FK: (2.05 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Karacabey Belediyespor recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GalataTürkiye Kupası | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Fethiyespor2. Lig | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ankaragücü2. Lig | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| İnegölspor2. Lig | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Serik Spor2. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bucaspor 19282. Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Beykoz Anadolu2. Lig | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ankaraspor2. Lig | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Muğlaspor2. Lig | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Kastamonuspor2. Lig | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Karacabey Belediyespor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
1461 Trabzon FK recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serik Spor2. Lig | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| 12 Bingölspor2. Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ankara Demirspor2. Lig | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yeni Orduspor2. Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sakaryaspor2. Lig | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Menemen FK2. Lig | Home | 4–5 | Lost | |
| Kırklarelispor2. Lig | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Isparta 32 Spor2. Lig | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Adanaspor2. Lig | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from 1461 Trabzon FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
2. Lig — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muş Sport Klübü | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Aliağa FAŞ | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Elazığspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Çorluspor 1947 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Güzide Gebzespor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Menemen FK | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Erbaaspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Somaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Isparta 32 Spor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Şanlıurfaspor | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Ankaraspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 15 | Sebat Gençlikspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
1461 Trabzon FK are ranked 8 in Lig B: Red Group, with 7 points from 5 games.
Karacabey Belediyespor are ranked 10 in Lig B: Red Group, with 7 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakaryaspor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Adana 01 FK | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Yeni Orduspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | 24 Erzincanspor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | Ankaragücü | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 Bingölspor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Serik Spor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Kırklarelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Fethiyespor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Kütahyaspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | İnegölspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.