PFL · Group Stage
KayavsManila Digger
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- PFL
- Venue
- Rizal Memorial Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kaya vs Manila Digger: match review and analysis
Kaya vs Manila Digger in PFL on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Kaya recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 11. Manila Digger recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 22 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kaya | Manila Digger |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kaya: (2.54 weighted goals scored + 0.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Manila Digger: (2.35 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kaya recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philippine ArmyPFL | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| TuloyPFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AzkalsPFL | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dynamic Herb CebuPFL | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Manila DiggerPFL | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TaguigPFL | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Davao AguilasPFL | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| StallionPFL | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MendiolaPFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Davao AguilasPFL | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kaya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Manila Digger recent form
2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamic Herb CebuPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AzkalsPFL | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| StallionPFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KasukaASEAN Club Championship | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| KasukaASEAN Club Championship | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Persib BandungAFC Champions League Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TaguigPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KayaPFL | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| StallionPFL | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dynamic Herb CebuPFL | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Manila Digger’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
PFL — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.