Azadegan League · Regular Season - 5
Fard AlborzvsShahin Bandar Ameri
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fard Alborz vs Shahin Bandar Ameri: match review and analysis
Fard Alborz vs Shahin Bandar Ameri in Azadegan League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Fard Alborz recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Shahin Bandar Ameri recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fard Alborz | Shahin Bandar Ameri |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fard Alborz: (0.73 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Shahin Bandar Ameri: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 0.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fard Alborz recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Masjed SoleymanAzadegan League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sanat NaftAzadegan League | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fard Alborz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Shahin Bandar Ameri recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Novin AhvazAzadegan League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Pars Jonoubi JAMAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Naft Bandar AbbasAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakAzadegan League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chadormalu SCAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kheybar KhorramabadAzadegan League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esteghlal MollasaniAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Shahin Bandar Ameri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Shahin Bandar Ameri are ranked 6 in Regular Season, with 6 points from 4 games.
Fard Alborz are ranked 10 in Regular Season, with 5 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saipa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ario Eslamshahr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Fard Alborz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Niroye Zamini | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mes Kerman | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Naft Gachsaran | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Havadar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.