3. Division - Girone 5 · Regular Season - 23
Fauske SprintvsHarstad
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 3. Division - Girone 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Fauske Sprint vs Harstad: match review and analysis
Fauske Sprint vs Harstad in 3. Division - Girone 5 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fauske Sprint recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 35. Harstad recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 30 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fauske Sprint | Harstad |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 30 |
| Goals conceded | 35 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fauske Sprint: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Harstad: (2.66 weighted goals scored + 3.39 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 3.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fauske Sprint recent form
2.40 goals scored and 3.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skjervøy3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Tromsø II3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Lillestrøm II3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Strømsgodset II3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| Ulfstind3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Alta3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Bodo/GlimtNM Cupen | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Finnsnes3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Skedsmo3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| Skjetten3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 4–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fauske Sprint’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Harstad recent form
3.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skedsmo3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Kongsvinger II3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Skjetten3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ulfstind3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Tromsø II3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fløya3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Tromsdalen UilNM Cupen | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lillestrøm II3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Skjervøy3. Division - Girone 5 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Bossekop3. Division - Girone 5 | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Harstad’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
3. Division - Girone 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Harstad are ranked 4 in Group E, with 40 points from 22 games.
Fauske Sprint are ranked 7 in Group E, with 31 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Fløya | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 42 |
| 3 | Alta | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 4 | Harstad | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 40 |
| 5 | Finnsnes | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Skjetten | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 33 |
| 7 | Fauske Sprint | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 31 |
| 8 | Kongsvinger II | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 29 |
| 9 | Lillestrøm II | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 71 | 56 | 15 | 28 |
| 10 | Skjervøy | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 27 |
| 11 | Tromsø II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | Strømsgodset II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 75 | -40 | 19 |
| 14 | Ulfstind | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 81 | -43 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.