III Liga - Group 1 · Group I - 12
Olimpia ZambrówvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- III Liga - Group 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: match review and analysis
Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki in III Liga - Group 1 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Olimpia Zambrów recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 27. Lechia T. Mazowiecki recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 20 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Olimpia Zambrów | Lechia T. Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Olimpia Zambrów: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 2.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 2.56 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Olimpia Zambrów recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeszloIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Widzew IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SwitIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Olimpia Zambrów’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Lechia T. Mazowiecki recent form
2.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm.III Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SwitIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ząbkovia ZąbkiIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| TroszynIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ŁKS Łódź IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1 | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Wisła Płock IIIII Liga - Group 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lechia T. Mazowiecki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
III Liga - Group 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Olimpia Zambrów are ranked 11 in Group I, with 14 points from 11 games.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki are ranked 12 in Group I, with 13 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Wigry Suwałki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Swit | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Pelikan Łowicz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrów | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | ŁKS Łódź II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Mławianka Mława | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Łomża | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.