1. Lig · Regular Season - 9
Fatih KaragümrükvsMuğlaspor
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- 1. Lig
- Venue
- Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor: match review and analysis
Fatih Karagümrük vs Muğlaspor in 1. Lig on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Fatih Karagümrük recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Muğlaspor recorded 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fatih Karagümrük | Muğlaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fatih Karagümrük: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Muğlaspor: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fatih Karagümrük recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KasımpaşaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Esenler Erokspor1. Lig | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Manisa F.K.1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Batman Petrolspor1. Lig | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kayserispor1. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| İstanbulspor1. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bursaspor1. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ümraniyespor1. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Iğdır FK1. Lig | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AlanyasporSüper Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Fatih Karagümrük’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Muğlaspor recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iğdır FK1. Lig | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sivasspor1. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vanspor FK1. Lig | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ümraniyespor1. Lig | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boluspor1. Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bodrum FK1. Lig | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bandırmaspor1. Lig | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sarıyer1. Lig | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Elazığspor2. Lig | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Muğlaspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
1. Lig — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Fatih Karagümrük are ranked 10 in Lig A, with 12 points from 8 games.
Muğlaspor are ranked 12 in Lig A, with 11 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Keçiörengücü | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Iğdır FK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Sarıyer | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Muğlaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Pendikspor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Manisa F.K. | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Bodrum FK | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | İstanbulspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.