Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Mittelrhein - 7
Hennef 05vsDüren Merzenich
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Oberliga - Mittelrhein
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hennef 05 vs Düren Merzenich: match review and analysis
Hennef 05 vs Düren Merzenich in Oberliga - Mittelrhein on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Hennef 05 recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Düren Merzenich recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 19 scored and 25 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hennef 05 | Düren Merzenich |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 25 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hennef 05: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 2.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Düren Merzenich: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hennef 05 recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln IIOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| TuS BW KönigsdorfOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Wegberg-BeeckOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eintracht HohkeppelOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Siegburger SVOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Teutonia WeidenOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| PorzOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Hennef 05’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Düren Merzenich recent form
1.90 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS BW KönigsdorfOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| Wegberg-BeeckOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Eintracht HohkeppelOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| VfL VichttalOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Fortuna Köln IIOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Eintracht HohkeppelOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TuS BW KönigsdorfOberliga - Mittelrhein | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BornheimOberliga - Mittelrhein | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Düren Merzenich’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Oberliga - Mittelrhein — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Düren Merzenich are ranked 11 in Mittelrhein, with 7 points from 6 games.
Hennef 05 are ranked 12 in Mittelrhein, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wegberg-Beeck | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Eintracht Hohkeppel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Fortuna Köln II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | SSV Merten | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 6 | Chlodwig Zulpich | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Hürth | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Bornheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | VfL Vichttal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Frechen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Porz | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Siegburger SV | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Neunkirchen-Seelscheid | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.