Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 3
TrikalavsSarakinos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Trikala vs Sarakinos: match review and analysis
Trikala vs Sarakinos in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Trikala recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Sarakinos recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Trikala | Sarakinos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Trikala: (0.37 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sarakinos: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Trikala recent form
0.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 3 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis LarissaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| FeraiosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LarisaCup | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| LamiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aris FiliatesGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TilikratisGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Asteras StavrosGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nea SelefkiaGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Proodos RogonGamma Ethniki - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Trikala’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sarakinos recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KaritsaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KozaniGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EordaikosGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Akrites SykeonGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| EvosmouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Asteras Kard.Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sarakinos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Trikala are ranked 1 in Group 4, with 6 points from 2 games.
Sarakinos are ranked 7 in Group 4, with 3 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.