Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 · Group 4 - 3
Iraklis LarissavsEthnikos Neou Keramidiou
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Iraklis Larissa vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: match review and analysis
Iraklis Larissa vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Iraklis Larissa recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Iraklis Larissa | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Iraklis Larissa: (0.49 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Iraklis Larissa recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TrikalaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PierikosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| VeriaSuper League 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Makedonikos NeapolisSuper League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Panathinaikos IISuper League 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PanserraikosSuper League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Iraklis 1908Super League 2 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AlmoposSuper League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ThesprotosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Niki VolosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Iraklis Larissa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FeraiosGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Group 4 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ElassonaGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PanthrakikosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Apollon PontouGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VeriaGamma Ethniki - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou are ranked 8 in Group 4, with 3 points from 2 games.
Iraklis Larissa are ranked 10 in Group 4, with 0 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trikala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Anthoupoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Elassona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sarakinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Feraios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larissa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Digenis Neochori | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.