Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 7
Real CalepinavsVilla Valle
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle: match review and analysis
Real Calepina vs Villa Valle in Serie D - Girone B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Real Calepina recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Villa Valle recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Real Calepina | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Calepina: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Villa Valle: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Calepina recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeonCoppa Italia Serie D | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rovato VertoveseSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BrusaportoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| PiacenzaSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pro PalazzoloSerie D - Girone B | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SondrioSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Folgore CarateseSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Calepina’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Villa Valle recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TritiumCoppa Italia Serie D | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FiorenzuolaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LeonSerie D - Girone B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Milan IISerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TritiumSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Virtus Ciserano BergamoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Virtus VeronaSerie D - Girone B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BrenoSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OltrepòSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Villa Valle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Real Calepina are ranked 10 in Group B, with 8 points from 6 games.
Villa Valle are ranked 12 in Group B, with 7 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Milan II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.