Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 7
Nibbiano & ValtidonevsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: match review and analysis
Nibbiano & Valtidone vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo in Serie D - Girone B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Nibbiano & Valtidone recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Virtus Ciserano Bergamo recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nibbiano & Valtidone | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 2 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nibbiano & Valtidone: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 0.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Nibbiano & Valtidone recent form
1.17 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. 2 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChievoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Pro PalazzoloSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FiorenzuolaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club MilanoSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Nibbiano & Valtidone’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus VeronaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Club MilanoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ChievoSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PavoneseSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Rovato VertoveseSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CastellanzeseSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PaviaSerie D - Girone B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| VoghereseSerie D - Girone B | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Villa ValleSerie D - Girone B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Virtus Ciserano Bergamo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nibbiano & Valtidone are ranked 2 in Group B, with 15 points from 6 games.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo are ranked 5 in Group B, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Milan II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.