Serie D - Girone H · Group H - 7
EbolitanavsMartina Franca
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone H
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ebolitana vs Martina Franca: match review and analysis
Ebolitana vs Martina Franca in Serie D - Girone H on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Ebolitana recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Martina Franca recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ebolitana | Martina Franca |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ebolitana: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 1.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Martina Franca: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Ebolitana recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. 5 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IschiaSerie D - Girone H | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MelfiSerie D - Girone H | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ManfredoniaSerie D - Girone H | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BisceglieSerie D - Girone H | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NardòSerie D - Girone H | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NocerinaSerie D - Girone H | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ebolitana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Martina Franca recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrancavillaSerie D - Girone H | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NardòSerie D - Girone H | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Virtus FrancavillaSerie D - Girone H | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real NormannaSerie D - Girone H | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real Forio 2014Serie D - Girone H | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| TurrisSerie D - Girone H | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| PaganeseSerie D - Girone H | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NardòSerie D - Girone H | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nola 1925Serie D - Girone H | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HeracleaSerie D - Girone H | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Martina Franca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone H — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Martina Franca are ranked 3 in Serie D: Group H, with 12 points from 6 games.
Ebolitana are ranked 10 in Serie D: Group H, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Franca | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | USD Palmese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Nardò | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.