Second League - Group 4 · Group 4 - 7
Orenburg IIvsUral II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Orenburg II vs Ural II: match review and analysis
Orenburg II vs Ural II in Second League - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Orenburg II recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Ural II recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Orenburg II | Ural II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Orenburg II: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ural II: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.48 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Orenburg II recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Ural IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Khimik DzerzhinskSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KDVSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Orenburg II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ural II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chelyabinsk IISecond League - Group 4 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| IzhevskSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orenburg IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rubin Kazan 2Second League - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| NostaSecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo BarnaulSecond League - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Akron IISecond League - Group 4 | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ural II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Orenburg II are ranked 7 in Urals, with 26 points from 22 games.
Ural II are ranked 9 in Urals, with 22 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 16 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | KDV | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | Akron II | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Krylya Sovetov II | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
| 6 | Dinamo Barnaul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 7 | Orenburg II | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
| 8 | Izhevsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Ural II | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan 2 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
| 11 | Nosta | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk II | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 17 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.