Third League - Northwest · Northwest - 8
Etar VT IIvsSpartak Pleven II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Etar VT II vs Spartak Pleven II: match review and analysis
Etar VT II vs Spartak Pleven II in Third League - Northwest on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Etar VT II recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 25. Spartak Pleven II recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 7 scored and 13 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | Etar VT II | Spartak Pleven II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 6 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 25 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Etar VT II: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 2.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Spartak Pleven II: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 2.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Etar VT II recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yantra Polski TrambeshThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Kom BerkovitsaThird League - Northwest | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yantra Polski TrambeshThird League - Northwest | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LitexThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BdinThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| OFK LevskiThird League - Northwest | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Etar VT II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 6 GAMES
Spartak Pleven II recent form
1.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. 5 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PartizanThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Akademik SvishtovThird League - Northwest | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Kom BerkovitsaThird League - Northwest | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BdinThird League - Northwest | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| SevlievoThird League - Northwest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chavdar TroyanThird League - Northwest | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Spartak Pleven II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Spartak Pleven II are ranked 10 in Northwest, with 5 points from 6 games.
Etar VT II are ranked 11 in Northwest, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Akademik Svishtov | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Mezdra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Yantra Polski Trambesh | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 4 | Partizan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Bdin | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Kom Berkovitsa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Sevlievo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Chavdar Troyan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | OFK Levski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Spartak Pleven II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Etar VT II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Pavlikeni | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventus Malchika | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | -16 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.