Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 · Group 8 - 3
EgaleovsEthnikos Piraeus
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus: match review and analysis
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Egaleo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Ethnikos Piraeus recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Egaleo | Ethnikos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Egaleo: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 0.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ethnikos Piraeus: (0.81 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Egaleo recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IalysosGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Apollon Kalyt.Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| IlioupoliSuper League 2 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PanargiakosSuper League 2 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ellas SyrosSuper League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KallitheaSuper League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IlioupoliSuper League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PanargiakosSuper League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Egaleo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ethnikos Piraeus recent form
0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AmfialiGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PAO RoufGamma Ethniki - Group 8 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZakynthosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pyrgos 1968Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Aris PetroupolisGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ZakynthosGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Pyrgos 1968Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Aris PetroupolisGamma Ethniki - Promotion Group | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IonikosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Saronikos AnavyssouGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ethnikos Piraeus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Egaleo are ranked 1 in Group 8, with 6 points from 2 games.
Ethnikos Piraeus are ranked 5 in Group 8, with 4 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egaleo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Apollon Smirnis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vyrona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Amfiali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Afantou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ionikos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | PAO Rouf | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Diagoras | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ialysos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Proodeftiki | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Apollon Kalyt. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.