Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 · Group 9 - 3
Thyella DiastavroseosvsIlioupoli
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli: match review and analysis
Thyella Diastavroseos vs Ilioupoli in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Thyella Diastavroseos recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Ilioupoli recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 4 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Thyella Diastavroseos | Ilioupoli |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Thyella Diastavroseos: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ilioupoli: (0.44 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Thyella Diastavroseos recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea IoniaGamma Ethniki - Group 9 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AE MykonosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IonikosGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Saronikos AnavyssouGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Asteras VarisGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ethnikos PiraeusGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Aias SalaminaGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Graniths Agias MarinasGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GiouchtasGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Saronikos AnavyssouGamma Ethniki - Group 6 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Thyella Diastavroseos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ilioupoli recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras VarisGamma Ethniki - Group 9 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EgaleoSuper League 2 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ellas SyrosSuper League 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KallitheaSuper League 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PanargiakosSuper League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EgaleoSuper League 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KissamikosSuper League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ellas SyrosSuper League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KallitheaSuper League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ilioupoli’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Thyella Diastavroseos are ranked 4 in Group 9, with 3 points from 1 games.
Ilioupoli are ranked 8 in Group 9, with 1 points from 1 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AE Mykonos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ilisiakos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Nea Ionia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Thyella Diastavroseos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Pannaxiakos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Asteras Magoula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Saronikos Anavyssou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Kaisarianis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Acharnaikos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.