Ýokary Liga · Regular Season - 22
AşgabatvsAltyn Asyr
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ýokary Liga
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr: match review and analysis
Aşgabat vs Altyn Asyr in Ýokary Liga on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Aşgabat recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 28. Altyn Asyr recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Aşgabat | Altyn Asyr |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Aşgabat: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Altyn Asyr: (2.46 weighted goals scored + 2.67 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Aşgabat recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AhalÝokary Liga | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MerwÝokary Liga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| ArkadagÝokary Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| NebitciÝokary Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ŞagadamÝokary Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Altyn AsyrÝokary Liga | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AhalÝokary Liga | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| ArkadagÝokary Liga | Home | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Aşgabat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Altyn Asyr recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AhalÝokary Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| NebitciÝokary Liga | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| ŞagadamÝokary Liga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ArkadagÝokary Liga | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| AşgabatÝokary Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| NebitciÝokary Liga | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| ŞagadamÝokary Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MerwÝokary Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Köpetdag AşgabatÝokary Liga | Home | 2–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Altyn Asyr’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ýokary Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Altyn Asyr are ranked 2 in Yokary Liga, with 44 points from 20 games.
Aşgabat are ranked 7 in Yokary Liga, with 15 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 12 | 85 | 72 |
| 2 | Altyn Asyr | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 22 |
| 5 | Nebitci | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 19 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 15 |
| 8 | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 52 | -30 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.