Copa Paulista · Final
União São JoãovsSão José EC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Paulista
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
União São João vs São José EC: match review and analysis
União São João vs São José EC in Copa Paulista on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
União São João recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 8. São José EC recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | União São João | São José EC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
União São João: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
São José EC: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 0.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
União São João recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio PrudenteCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Grêmio PrudenteCopa Paulista | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JuventusCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventusCopa Paulista | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bandeirante SPCopa Paulista | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bandeirante SPCopa Paulista | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| XV de PiracicabaCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from União São João’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
São José EC recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| São CaetanoCopa Paulista | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| São CaetanoCopa Paulista | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from São José EC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Paulista — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.