Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Hamrun SpartansvsHibernians
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Tony Bezzina Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians: match review and analysis
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Hamrun Spartans recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Hibernians recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Hamrun Spartans | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Hamrun Spartans: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hibernians: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Hamrun Spartans recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarsaxlokkPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| BirzebbugaPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zabbar St. PatrickPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FlorianaPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BirkirkaraPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MostaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NSI RunavikUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Valletta FCPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MarsaxlokkPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Hamrun Spartans’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hibernians recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FlorianaPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BirkirkaraPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Valletta FCPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Zabbar St. PatrickPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MarsaxlokkPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sliema WanderersPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zabbar St. PatrickPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MostaPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| BirkirkaraPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tarxien RainbowsPremier League | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hibernians’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Hamrun Spartans are ranked 6 in Premier Division: First stage - Main, with 10 points from 6 games.
Hibernians are ranked 10 in Premier Division: First stage - Main, with 5 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Valletta FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sliema Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Hibernians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.