Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3
BouchammavsStade Gabesien
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligue 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien: match review and analysis
Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien in Ligue 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Bouchamma recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Stade Gabesien recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, with 11 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bouchamma | Stade Gabesien |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bouchamma: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 0.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stade Gabesien: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bouchamma recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedeyefLigue 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KorbaLigue 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KorbaLigue 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| EO Sidi BouzidLigue 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ArianaLigue 2 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Jendouba SportLigue 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ksour EssefLigue 2 | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| RedeyefLigue 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Stade GabesienLigue 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DjelmaLigue 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bouchamma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stade Gabesien recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MoknineLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArianaLigue 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CS Hammam-LifLigue 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| US TataouineLigue 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CS SfaxienCup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DjelmaLigue 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Progrès Sakiet EddaïerLigue 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AS KasserineLigue 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Kalaâ SportLigue 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| ES SahelCup | Home | 4–3 | Won |
Scores shown from Stade Gabesien’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligue 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bouchamma are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 3 points from 2 games.
Stade Gabesien are ranked 17 in Regular Season, with 2 points from 2 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redeyef | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | EM Mahdia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | AS Kasserine | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | JS Kairouanaise | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AS Soliman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Mégrine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | BS Bouhajla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | M'saken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Sfax Railways | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ksour Essef | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sporting Ben Arous | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Korba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Kalaâ Sport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Jendouba Sport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | US Tataouine | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Bouchamma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Stade Gabesien | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | Béni-Khalled | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Stade Soussien | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 20 | AS Gabes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 | Ariana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 | CS Chebba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 | Olympique du Kef | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 | AS Agareb | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 25 | Moknine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 26 | Kerkennah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 27 | CO Medenine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | EGS Gafsa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.