Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Union St. GilloisevsOH Leuven
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Jupiler Pro League
- Venue
- Stade Joseph Marien
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven: match review and analysis
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven in Jupiler Pro League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Union St. Gilloise recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 8. OH Leuven recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 12 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Union St. Gilloise | OH Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Union St. Gilloise: (2.92 weighted goals scored + 2.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
OH Leuven: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 0.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Union St. Gilloise recent form
2.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AntwerpJupiler Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PlzenUEFA Europa League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| CharleroiJupiler Pro League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| St. TruidenJupiler Pro League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AnderlechtJupiler Pro League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
OH Leuven recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SK BeverenJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| GentJupiler Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Standard LiegeJupiler Pro League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CharleroiJupiler Pro League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LilleFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–6 | Lost | |
| HeerenveenFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Club Brugge IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from OH Leuven’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Jupiler Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Union St. Gilloise are ranked 1 in Pro League, with 19 points from 7 games.
OH Leuven are ranked 15 in Pro League, with 4 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Gent | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Zulte Waregem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 3 |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.