First League · Regular Season - 13
FC SochivsFC UFA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Fisht Olympic Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
FC Sochi vs FC UFA: match review and analysis
FC Sochi vs FC UFA in First League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
FC Sochi recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. FC UFA recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 10 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Sochi | FC UFA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Sochi: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC UFA: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Sochi recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ska-khabarovskFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| VelesFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo St. PetersburgCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFirst League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FK NeftekhimikFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LeningradetsFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from FC Sochi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC UFA recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo MoskvaFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChelyabinskFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Volga UlyanovskFirst League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KalugaCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| VelesFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| FK NeftekhimikFirst League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EniseyFirst League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Spartak KostromaFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UralFirst League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KAMAZFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC UFA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Sochi are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 23 points from 12 games.
FC UFA are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 18 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Spartak Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moskva | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Enisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | FK Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.