Regionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 12
Chemnitzer FCvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Nordost
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: match review and analysis
Chemnitzer FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt in Regionalliga - Nordost on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chemnitzer FC recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 5. FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 32 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chemnitzer FC | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 32 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chemnitzer FC: (2.07 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: (3.15 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chemnitzer FC recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSV EintrachtRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| BSG Chemie LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AltglienickeRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC Carl Zeiss JenaRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Erzgebirge AueRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Hallescher FCRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Chemnitzer FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt recent form
3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotive LeipzigRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Erzgebirge AueRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hertha BSC IIRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| RSV EintrachtRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Magdeburg IIRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FC Carl Zeiss JenaRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Hallescher FCRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Nordost — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are ranked 1 in Regionalliga: Nordost, with 27 points from 11 games.
Chemnitzer FC are ranked 2 in Regionalliga: Nordost, with 26 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 6 |
| 18 | Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.